35%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Georgetown University Initiative on Innovation, Development, and Evaluation — Zusha! Road Safety Campaign

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
15%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Georgetown University Initiative on Innovation, Development, and Evaluation — Zusha! Road Safety Campaign. Resolution: By year-end 2017

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
10%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Georgetown University Initiative on Innovation, Development, and Evaluation — Zusha! Road Safety Campaign. Resolution: By year-end 2017

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
10%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Georgetown University Initiative on Innovation, Development, and Evaluation — Zusha! Road Safety Campaign. Resolution: By year-end 2017

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
80%
Likely

Associated grant: Charity Science: Health — General Support

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
80%
Likely

Associated grant: Harvard University — Solar Geoengineering Research Program

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
10%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Impact Justice — Restorative Justice Project

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
66%
Likely

Average of two forecasts: 65% and 67%. Associated grant: Centre for Pesticide Suicide Prevention — General Support

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
70%
Likely

Associated grant: IDinsight — Embedded GiveWell Team (2018). Resolution: February 2019

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
70%
Likely

Associated grant: New Incentives — General Support (April 2017)

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
15%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Evidence Action — Strengthen Operations (2017)

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
25%
Unlikely

(including any RCTs related to current GiveWell Incubation Grant recipients, such as Evidence Action's Beta Incubator). Associated grant: IDinsight — Endline Evaluation of New Incentives RCT. Resolution: December 2024

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
50%
About Even

(as discussed above, we currently estimate it's roughly 9x as cost-effective as cash transfers, using our January 2018 CEA as a baseline). Associated grant: Evidence Action Beta — Iron and Folic Acid Supplementation

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
70%
Likely

Associated grant: Impact Justice — Restorative Justice Project

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
30%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Evidence Action Beta — Incubator Program. Resolution: December 2023

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
50%
About Even

Associated grant: Innovations for Poverty Action — Mindset Engagement in Cash Transfers

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
20%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Innovations for Poverty Action — Randomized Controlled Trial on the Effect of Face Masks on COVID-19. Resolution: June 1, 2021

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
25%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Innovations for Poverty Action — Randomized Controlled Trial on the Effect of Face Masks on COVID-19. Resolution: June 1, 2021

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
25%
Unlikely

Conditional on a COVID-19 outcome being reported in the published paper. Associated grant: Innovations for Poverty Action — Randomized Controlled Trial on the Effect of Face Masks on COVID-19. Resolution: June 1, 2021

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
13%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Innovations for Poverty Action — Randomized Controlled Trial on the Effect of Face Masks on COVID-19. Resolution: June 1, 2021

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy

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