79%
Joe Biden/Donald Trump
9%
Gavin Newsom/Donald Trump
4%
Michelle Obama/Donald Trump
2%
Dean Phillips/Donald Trump
1%
Joe Biden/Nikki Haley
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £367k
84%
Joe Biden
4%
Michelle Obama
3%
Gavin Newsom
2%
Kamala Harris
< 1%
Gretchen Whitmer
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £7988k
78%
Likely

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Biden wins the Democratic nomination for president of the United States and Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president of the United States in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise,...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $7.2k
26%
Unlikely

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race.

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $6.7k
73%
Joe Biden
14%
Pete Buttigieg
8%
Gavin Newsom
6%
Kamala Harris
4%
Hillary Clinton
★★★★☆
Insight
Volume: $10k
61%
Donald Trump
35%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Tom Cotton
★★★★☆
Insight
Volume: $21k
84%
Likely

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources,...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $155k
12%
Unlikely

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nimrata Nikki Haley wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $3.3k
40%
Donald Trump
39%
Joe Biden
3%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr
3%
Michelle Obama
2%
Gavin Newsom
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £14838k
51%
Democratic Party
46%
Republican Party
3%
Any Other
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £381k
50%
About Even

On Dec 19 the Colorado Supreme Court voted in a 4-3 decision that Trump was barred from appearing on Colorado’s 2024 presidential primary ballot.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Supreme Court overturns Colorado Supreme Court’s...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $1.3k
68%
Joe Biden
18%
Donald Trump
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
2%
Michelle Obama
2%
Gavin Newsom
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £399k
6%
Very unlikely

The last federal <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-signs-17t-government-spending-bill-ensuring-funding/story?id=95934378" target="_blank">shutdown</a> <a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R41759"...

★★★★☆
Good Judgment
76%
Democratic Party
21%
Republican Party
3%
Any Other
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £218k
82%
Kamala Harris
4%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Michelle Obama
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £74k
19%
Tim Scott
11%
Tulsi Gabbard
8%
Kristi Noem
7%
J.D. Vance
6%
Elise Stefanik
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £521k
91%
The election was no different than previous elections, with minor fraud incidents that did not change the outcome.
4%
The election outcome was manipulated through a centralized mass computer fraud, involving a significant portion of US electronic voting equipment.
4%
The election outcome was manipulated through the centrally coordinated effort of multiple people.
< 1%
The election outcome was manipulated through many local and uncoordinated frauds, whether human or machine-based.
★★★★☆
Rootclaim
Forecasts: 1
> 99%
Fewer than 100
< 1%
Between 100 and 1,000, inclusive
< 1%
More than 1,000 but fewer than 10,000
< 1%
Between 10,000 and 100,000, inclusive
< 1%
More than 100,000
★★★★☆
Good Judgment
60%
2025 or later
40%
2024

We will settle this market on the date the Conservative Party officially announce their new Permanent Party Leader after Rishi Sunak. Temporary/interim leaders do not count. If a temporary/interim leader is appointed we will wait until the date of...

★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £50k
50%
About Even

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 17, 2023 ET and March 20, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market may not resolve to "No"...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $2.4k
82%
Likely

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Bitcoin ETF receives approval from the SEC by January 15, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $50k

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