This is a market on whether the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) will designate any additional COVID-19 variant as a "Variant of Concern (VOC)" by July 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if ECDC...
The World Health Organization publishes a list of Variants of Concern (VoC), which is currently WHO's most serious classification of SARS-Cov-2 variants. On November 26, 2021, WHO added Omicron to this classification, bringing the total number of...
Vitamin D has a history of large scale studies pointing both to and away from health benefits, and many western countries already recommend supplementing Vitamin D during winter months. An extensive summary of the evidence for Vitamin D’s various...
Vitamin D has a history of large scale studies pointing both to and away from health benefits, and many western countries already recommend supplementing Vitamin D during winter months. An extensive summary of the evidence for Vitamin D’s various...
In September 2021, the UK's health service started its "booster" campaign, offering third jabs of the Covid vaccine to all adults in the UK.
But will Covid vaccine boosters become annual events, like flu jabs? Other forecasters have asked that...
Multiple SARS-CoV-2 variants that have higher transmissibility, cause more severe disease, or that can evade immunity to some extent have been detected and tracked since late 2020. The Delta variant, for instance, is thought to be more transmissible...
<small>Note: this is a long term question which will not count toward the tournament leaderboard. See the tournament page for details.</small>
VDH tracks the number of new COVID-19 cases by date of symptom onset, which it currently updates on...
The World Health Organization has (as of January 2022) identified several variants of SARS-CoV-2, 5 of which are designated as variants of concern. This designation indicates that the variant is more serious than previous variants of the virus, in...
Vitamin D has a history of large scale studies pointing both to and away from health benefits, and many western countries already recommend supplementing Vitamin D during winter months. An extensive summary of the evidence for Vitamin D’s various...
Nationwide, new COVID-19 hospitalizations have begun increasing following the decline of the Omicron BA.1 wave.
As of April 27th, the 7-day moving average of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia is 181.
***Will the 7-day moving average...
Nationwide, new COVID-19 hospitalizations have begun increasing following the decline of the Omicron BA.1 wave.
As of April 27th, the 7-day moving average of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia is 181.
***Will the 7-day moving average...
Nationwide, new COVID-19 hospitalizations have declined following the surge due to the Omicron wave. Given the unprecedented case numbers and likely testing capacity constraints, hospitalizations are a more reliable indicator of the Omicron wave's...
Nationwide, new COVID-19 hospitalizations have declined following the surge due to the Omicron wave. Given the unprecedented case numbers and likely testing capacity constraints, hospitalizations are a more reliable indicator of the Omicron wave's...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day COVID-19 Case average is below 10,000 in the US for any day ranging from April 6, 2022 to December 31, 2022 inclusive, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market is the CDC; https://covid..
In recent months there have been dozens of reported cases of severe hepatitis in young children in which the cause is of unknown origin.
In an outbreak report on 23 April, the World Health Organization stated that 12 countries have reported at least...
Omicron XE is a recombination of the SARS-Cov-2 Omicron strains BA.1 and BA.2. It has been detected first in the UK on January 19, 2022, then in Brazil, Australia, Thailand, India, and Israel. 1,125 cases of Omicron XE have been identified in the...
As of December 7, 2021, GISAID, a global sequencing database reports that the variant of concern (VOC) called Delta by the World Health Organisation is the dominant strain of SARS-CoV-2. In the seven days to December 5, 2021, 6,160 of 6,371 (98%)...
In 1968 the First Grand Coalition of the Federal Republic of Germany passed the German Emergency Act, changing, adding or removing more than two dozen paragraphs in their Basic Law (constitution). These would allow the federal government to limit...
Despite being the original epicentre of the Covid-19 pandemic, China has fared relatively well in terms of reported deaths, with only 4,636 deaths reported as of Jan 2nd 2022, according to Our World In Data.
This figure has been widely questioned, e..
<small>Note: this is a long term question which will not count toward the tournament leaderboard. See the tournament page for details.</small>
On 19 November 2021, FDA authorized COVID-19 boosters for all U.S. adults — these boosters constitute...
Can't find what you were looking for? Show more, or suggest a question on Metaculus