What will be the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone in October 2022?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
99%
5.0% or more
5.0% or more
More than 3.9% but less than 5.0%
Between 1.0% and 1.9%, inclusive
Between 3.0% and 3.9%, inclusive
Less than 1.0%

Question description

After years of failing to reach the European Central Bank's (ECB's) inflation target of 2%, estimated November 2021 inflation figures for in the eurozone reached an all-time high in the 25 years since the data have been compiled, an annual rate of change of 4.9% (CNBC, Politico.eu, ECB). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2022 and the outcome determined using the annual rate of change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), data used to measure consumer price inflation in the eurozone, as first reported by Eurostat for "Euro area - 19 countries (from 2015)" (Eurostat). As of the launch of this question, the annual rate of change for October 2021 (2021M10) was 4.1%. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts551
Forecasters135

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Resizable preview:
99%
5.0% or more
1%
More than 3.9% but less than 5.0%
< 1%
Less than 1.0%
< 1%
Between 1.0% and 1.9%, inclusive
< 1%
More than 1.9% but less than 3.0%
Last updated: 2022-08-08
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 551
Forecasters: 135

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