How many total hurricanes will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2022 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
54%
Between 7 and 9
Between 7 and 9
Between 10 and 12
Between 4 and 6
Between 13 and 15
16 or more

Question description

Researchers at Colorado State University have predicted an "above-normal" Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from 1 June 2022 to 30 November 2022 (NPR, CSU Tropical Weather & Climate Research). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2022 and the outcome determined using categorizations provided by the National Hurricane Center no later than 16 December 2022 (National Hurricane Center, National Hurricane Center - Reports). To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts283
Forecasters67

Capture

Resizable preview:
54%
Between 7 and 9
24%
Between 10 and 12
20%
Between 4 and 6
2%
Between 13 and 15
< 1%
3 or fewer
Last updated: 2022-08-08
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 283
Forecasters: 67

Embed

<iframe src="https://metaforecast-9n1bj7elb-quantified-uncertainty.vercel.app/questions/embed/goodjudgmentopen-2380" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />