What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 16 December 2022?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
47%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive

Question description

As the ECB moves to change course on monetary policy, government bond yields in southern Europe have jumped (MarketWatch, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using "Italy-Germany 10 Year Bond Spread" data as reported by YCharts for 16 December 2022 (YCharts). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts186
Forecasters21

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Resizable preview:
47%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
37%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
11%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
3%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
2%
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive
Last updated: 2022-11-26
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 186
Forecasters: 21

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