Before 1 January 2024, will American journalist Evan Gershkovich leave Russia?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
15%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description

Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich was arrested in Russia on 29 March 2023 for espionage, a claim he denies (ABC News). US officials have said that there have been discussions with Russia on a possible prisoner exchange (The Hill). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here. NOTE 17 July 2023: Gershkovich must leave Russia alive to count.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts122
Forecasters35

Capture

Resizable preview:
15%
Unlikely

Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich was arrested in Russia on 29 March 2023 for espionage, a claim he denies (ABC News). US officials have said that there have been discussions with Russia on a possible prisoner exchange (The Hill)..

Last updated: 2023-10-03
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 122
Forecasters: 35

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