What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 28 June 2024?

Good Judgment Open
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48%
At least 4.20%, but less than 4.50%
At least 4.20%, but less than 4.50%
At least 4.50%, but less than 4.80%
At least 3.90%, but less than 4.20%
At least 4.80%, but less than 5.20%
At least 3.60%, but less than 3.90%

Question description

The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 27 June 2024 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected the following week (FRED). On 12 February 2024, the yield was 4.17%. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts251
Forecasters45

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Resizable preview:
48%
At least 4.20%, but less than 4.50%
35%
At least 4.50%, but less than 4.80%
9%
At least 3.90%, but less than 4.20%
5%
At least 4.80%, but less than 5.20%
2%
At least 3.60%, but less than 3.90%
Last updated: 2024-05-29
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 251
Forecasters: 45

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