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Will Scott Alexander be convicted of a felony in any country before 2030?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see here.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters18
VolumeM1.3k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Scott Alexander be convicted of a felony in any country before 2030?
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-09

This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best. For an overview and discussion, see here.

Last updated: 2025-05-09
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 18
Volume: M1.3k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-K6WBu6e5ekpfNwY8bCj9" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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