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Will I pay Manifold over $100 this year?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
21%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "YES" if I have spent more than $100 USD on Manifold Markets by December 31, 2025. It will resolve to "NO" if the total amount spent is $100 or less by the end of 2025.

This includes:

Purchases of Mana, Manifold's virtual currency.

Any other purchases or subscriptions paid to Manifold Markets

This excludes:

Manifest tickets

Charitable donations

Background: The goal of this market is to surface medium-term monetization strategies. During the sweepstake era, I purchased ~$50 of Mana in 2024. I don't plan to buy more mana at the moment, as I have plenty to spare. I don't currently see much value in boosting a market.

But I generally like the idea of supporting Manifold.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters10
VolumeM1.1k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will I pay Manifold over $100 this year?
21%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-17

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "YES" if I have spent more than $100 USD on Manifold Markets by December 31, 2025. It will resolve to "NO" if the total amount spent is $100 or less by the end of 2025.

This includes:

Purchases of...

Last updated: 2025-06-17
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 10
Volume: M1.1k

Embed #

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Preview