We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
This question will resolve yes if AGI is achieved using LLMs and there is at least some philosophical consensus that language (with enough relational complexity) is sufficient to give rise to human-level reasoning.
Very open to alternate/more rigorous proposals for resolution.
At the very least, I'm curious as to what people think.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 18 |
| Volume | M694 |
This question will resolve yes if AGI is achieved using LLMs and there is at least some philosophical consensus that language (with enough relational complexity) is sufficient to give rise to human-level reasoning.
Very open to alternate/more...