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Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
64%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Will resolve to 50% if somehow it happens at exactly the same time. 100% if before, 0% if after. I will not bet on this market.

Update 2025-04-01 (PST): - IMO is scheduled before IOI each year. Therefore, if both events occur on the release date, the market will resolve to yes rather than a 50% outcome. (AI summary of creator comment)

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters68
VolumeM40k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?
64%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-19

Will resolve to 50% if somehow it happens at exactly the same time. 100% if before, 0% if after. I will not bet on this market.

Update 2025-04-01 (PST): - IMO is scheduled before IOI each year. Therefore, if both events occur on the release date,...

Last updated: 2025-06-19
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 68
Volume: M40k

Embed #

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