MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will I give up caffeinated drinks until the end of 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
69%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

This market is about whether I will give up caffeinated drinks until the end of 2025. It serves as a commitment device to help me avoid falling back into old habits. I developed a sensitivity to caffeine in recent years, which causes anxiety and irregular sleep. This market helps me stay committed to avoiding caffeine for my well-being.

Rules:

To resolve this market as YES, I must not consume any caffeinated drinks (e.g., coffee, tea, energy drinks, or other beverages containing caffeine) until 31 December 2025.

Decaffeinated versions of drinks (e.g., decaf coffee or tea) are allowed.

If I consume any caffeinated drink during this period, this market will be resolved NO.

Additional Notes:

I will not bet on this market.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters11
VolumeM334

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will I give up caffeinated drinks until the end of 2025?
69%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-25

This market is about whether I will give up caffeinated drinks until the end of 2025. It serves as a commitment device to help me avoid falling back into old habits. I developed a sensitivity to caffeine in recent years, which causes anxiety and...

Last updated: 2025-04-25
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M334

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-dRll8OLsc6" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview