We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if by the end of 2026, a plurality (the largest group, though not necessarily a majority) of Americans view Donald Trump's tariff policies as a success according to credible national polls (I will take the median position if multiple polls address the same question). It resolves NO if a plurality view them as unsuccessful or if no credible polls exist by the resolution date. I will resolve the question based on the polls conducted closest to the closing date of the market.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 12 |
| Volume | M448 |
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if by the end of 2026, a plurality (the largest group, though not necessarily a majority) of Americans view Donald Trump's tariff policies as a success according to credible national polls (I will take...