Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
5%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description

Robert Francis "Beto" O'Rourke born September 26, 1972, is an American politician who served as the U.S. representative for Texas's 16th congressional district from 2013 to 2019. A member of the Democratic Party, O'Rourke was a candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020. He was not elected in either race.

O'Rourke is a candidate for the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election, challenging incumbent governor Greg Abbott, who is seeking a third term. O'Rourke won the Democratic nomination for governor on March 1, 2022 with over 90% of the primary vote.

The 2022 Texas gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022.

Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?

This question resolves positively if Beto O'Rourke is officially certified as the winner of the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election. The question resolves negatively if this does not occur for any reason.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts131

Capture

Resizable preview:
5%
Very unlikely

Robert Francis "Beto" O'Rourke born September 26, 1972, is an American politician who served as the U.S. representative for Texas's 16th congressional district from 2013 to 2019. A member of the Democratic Party, O'Rourke was a candidate for the U.S....

Last updated: 2022-08-08
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 131

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