There has been speculation that Biden, due to his age, might be a one-term President and therefore Harris, as his VP, could be the favorite to succeed him; for example [here](https://en.as.com/en/2020/11/13/latest_news/1605297592_528198.html) and [here](https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/11/biden-cabinet-kamala-2024-444482).  However, Biden's campaign has maintained that [he is considering running in 2024](https://www.politico.com/newsletters/transition-playbook/2021/01/20/biden-is-planning-to-run-again-in-2024-792879).

***Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?***

Resolves positively if Kamala Harris, by January 1, 2024, announces that she is running for President.

Indicator	Value
Stars	★★★☆☆
Platform	Metaculus
Number of forecasts	349

Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?

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