Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
37%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description

There has been speculation that Biden, due to his age, might be a one-term President and therefore Harris, as his VP, could be the favorite to succeed him; for example here and here. However, Biden's campaign has maintained that he is considering running in 2024.

Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?

Resolves positively if Kamala Harris, by January 1, 2024, announces that she is running for President.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts349

Capture

Resizable preview:
37%
Unlikely

There has been speculation that Biden, due to his age, might be a one-term President and therefore Harris, as his VP, could be the favorite to succeed him; for example here and here. However, Biden's campaign has maintained that he is considering...

Last updated: 2022-07-04
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 349

Embed

<iframe src="https://metaforecast-9n1bj7elb-quantified-uncertainty.vercel.app/questions/embed/metaculus-6312" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />