Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022?

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Yes

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As of December 7, 2021, GISAID, a global sequencing database reports that the variant of concern (VOC) called Delta by the World Health Organisation is the dominant strain of SARS-CoV-2. In the seven days to December 5, 2021, 6,160 of 6,371 (98%) SARS-CoV-2 genomes sequenced and submitted to GISAID were identified as the Delta variant.

Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022?

The GISAID variant tracker will be consulted on January 10, 2023 for the share of SARS-CoV-2 variants sequenced in the week to December 31, 2022 for the share of global sequences by each VOC. If the top variant's name includes "omicron" by the resolution source, then this will resolve positively.

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50%
About Even

As of December 7, 2021, GISAID, a global sequencing database reports that the variant of concern (VOC) called Delta by the World Health Organisation is the dominant strain of SARS-CoV-2. In the seven days to December 5, 2021, 6,160 of 6,371 (98%)...

Last updated: 2022-08-08
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Metaculus
Forecasts: 707

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