When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?

Metaculus
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In an effort to drive launch prices down, SpaceX and other "new space" launch providers have been developing and flying reusable launcher stages. After an initial testing period, SpaceX is currently routinely recovering, refurbishing, and reusing Falcon booster stages. Presently, a single booster has been already used 10 times, and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has stated that eventually even 100+ reuses would be possible for a single booster.

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In an effort to drive launch prices down, SpaceX and other "new space" launch providers have been developing and flying reusable launcher stages. After an initial testing period, SpaceX is currently routinely recovering, refurbishing, and reusing...

Last updated: 2024-03-29
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 108

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