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Will China's GDP Overtake the US Before 2030?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
9%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

In 2020 China's GDP increased by 2.3% while the US' decreased by 2.3%. Furthermore in 2021 China's GDP grew 8.1% to 114.367 trillion yuan, while the US' grew 5.7% to $22.99 trillion. China's faster economic recovery during the coronavirus pandemic has led some analysts to conclude that China may overtake the US as early as 2028. With others believing that China may never overtake the US due to a declining workforce and strict controls on the economy.

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts349

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Will China's GDP Overtake the US Before 2030?
9%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

In 2020 China's GDP increased by 2.3% while the US' decreased by 2.3%. Furthermore in 2021 China's GDP grew 8.1% to 114.367 trillion yuan, while the US' grew 5.7% to $22.99 trillion. China's faster economic recovery during the coronavirus pandemic...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 349

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