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Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

Polymarket
★★★★☆
33%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.

The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★★☆
PlatformPolymarket
Liquidity$18k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
33%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-12-09

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Partial...

Last updated: 2025-12-09
★★★★☆
Polymarket
Liquidity: $18k

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