Which state will hold the first Democratic primary for the 2024 nominee?

Please Note: PredictIt added a supplementary comment at the bottom of the Rules on 01/19/2024. The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the U.S. state that holds the first statewide primary election for the award or selection of delegates to determine the nominee of the Democratic Party in the 2024 presidential election. Events run by the Democratic Party, such as caucuses or conventions, and "beauty contest" primaries where no delegates will be selected or awarded, shall not be considered when resolving this market. The timing of absentee, mail-in or other options that may be available prior to the date of the primary election shall not be considered when resolving this market. Should two or more states hold a primary election on the same calendar day, this market shall resolve for the state ranked first when qualifying states are ordered alphabetically. Additional contracts identifying states not listed at the time of launch of this market may be added at any time prior to settlement. PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.

Supplementary Comment(s)

Created On: 01/19/2024 2:09 PM (ET) In response to trader inquiry: A statewide primary election that results in the award or selection of any number of delegates eligible to vote for the Presidential nominee at the 2024 Democratic National Convention will satisfy the settlement criteria listed in the Rules for a qualifying primary. This market may remain open until PredictIt can determine the final eligibility status of the New Hampshire delegates, if any, selected or awarded based on the January 23 primary. Created On: 03/09/2021 12:40 PM (ET) In response to trader inquiry: The second paragraph of the Rules means that the following shall not be considered when resolving this market:

• Events run by the Democratic Party, such as caucuses or conventions; and
• "Beauty contest" primaries where no delegates will be selected or awarded