Resolves YES if China invades Taiwan.

Resolves 50% if a human steps on the Moon.

Resolves NO if an offensive nuclear explosion happens.

Whichever event happens first after the market opening resolves this market. If nothing happens before the...

Will the Trump administration take specific actions undermining support for Taiwan during Trump's term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029), with Marco Rubio as Secretary of State?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if ANY of the...

This market will resolve based on the top 5 companies by market capitalization listed on companiesmarketcap.com as of March 29, 2025. (This is the last Saturday of Q1 2025, so that all the involved markets are closed and thus it doesn't matter when...