What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2024?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
56%
Up by at least 1.5%, but less than 3.0%
Up by at least 1.5%, but less than 3.0%
Up by at least 0.0%, but less than 1.5%
Up by 3.0% or more
Down by more than 0.0% but at most 1.5%
Down by more than 1.5% but at most 3.0%

Question description

The US economy has remained resilient despite headwinds including interest rates and geopolitical instability (Axios). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED), expected in late July 2024 (FRED, BEA). As of the launch of this question, the real GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2023 was 2.1%. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts145
Forecasters47

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Resizable preview:
56%
Up by at least 1.5%, but less than 3.0%
29%
Up by at least 0.0%, but less than 1.5%
12%
Up by 3.0% or more
3%
Down by more than 0.0% but at most 1.5%
< 1%
Down by more than 3.0%
Last updated: 2024-05-06
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 145
Forecasters: 47

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