Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?

Metaculus
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65%
Likely
Yes

Question description

There are plenty of programming languages (PLs) being used across various fields of business, science, and more. Some are considered suitable for specific tasks, while others have broader applications. For those studying or seeking programming-related employment it is essential to understand which PLs are currently relevant to increase their chances of finding a job.

The question itself is tricky. How can we measure the popularity of a PL? One way is to measure the percentage of PLs used in GitHub projects. However, not every company uses GitHub repositories; there are alternatives such as GitLab, GitFlic, etc. Additionally, some companies use their local servers to store their projects, making it challenging to gather such information.

Another method of measuring PLs' popularity is by calculating ratings based on the hits from popular search engines, similar to what the TIOBE index does. This approach is more suitable and can provide us with more representative and extensive data because most languages are continually evolving. Even experienced programmers need to stay updated with newly introduced changes.

As of March 5, 2024, Python is considered the most popular language according to the TIOBE Index. Python is a high-level, general-purpose programming language. Its design philosophy emphasizes code readability through significant indentation. Python is dynamically typed and garbage-collected. It supports multiple programming paradigms, including structured (particularly procedural), object-oriented, and functional programming. Python is widely used in data science, machine learning, web development, etc.

While popularity alone is not the sole factor for those choosing their future study area, understanding trends can be helpful. Many "younger" languages like Rust, Go, Swift, and others are gaining popularity and may potentially dominate in the near future.

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PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts37

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There are plenty of programming languages (PLs) being used across various fields of business, science, and more. Some are considered suitable for specific tasks, while others have broader applications. For those studying or seeking...

Last updated: 2024-05-05
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 37

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