Resolves to YES once that happens
Resolves to NO in 2030
I will use sources such as these to resolve to YES: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_the_State_of_Palestine https://worldpopulationreview..
@MarcusAbramovitch and Remmelt have made a $5k:$25k bet on exactly this question. Links to EA Forum and LessWrong where they announced the bet.
An AI market crash will be defined, for the purposes of this bet, as at least 2 out of 3 of the following...
Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_languages_in_the_Eurovision_Song_Contest
Since 1999 there has been no rule stating that countries have to sing only in their own national languages.
In 2021 lyrics in Sranan Tongo were sang for the first...
To qualify, the crisis should be listed here:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitutional_crisis
If Wikipedia becomes unreliable, defunct, or does not list a crisis but there's a broad consensus that there has been one, then I'm open to...
Background:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trillion-dollar_coin
Given the troubles Johnson went through to become speaker, many believe there will be upcoming fights over the budget, debt ceiling, and government shutdowns. President Trump can get...
Following October 7 events, there are currently 101 Israeli hostages in Gaza strip.
This question resolve YES if at the end of 2025, the Wikipedia page of Israel Hamas Hostage Crisis, say that there is at least one Israeli hostage in Gaza that were...
Resolves as YES if there is a Dyson Sphere around the Sun on January 1st 2070, capable of harnessing at least 1% of its power output. This artificial megastructure must at least be distributed in a ring around the Sun (i.e. it cannot be focused as a...