If in the locality the tornado is occurring in it is the 14th, then it counts.

Market will close on the 14th, but will be resolved a few days after to allow for accurate resolution.

Quite self explanatory

Google announced in 2023 new developments related to The Privacy Sandbox. The goal of the Privacy Sandbox is to create a more privacy-focused web environment that still allows for personalized content and ads without the invasive tracking practices...

Market resolves YES if an AI living on a server ends up also being run on another server, and there is strong evidence that this was not a result of a human deliberately copying the AI, and the AI was not intended to do this.

It is not sufficient it...

This question will resolve YES if the US Congress passes any legislation into law that creates or builds upon a regulatory framework for stablecoins in the US; otherwise the market resolves NO. Passing the GENIUS Act and/or STABLE Act will...

In October 2017, Messaging Extraterrestrial Intelligence International (METI) transmitted a signal into space designed to let other civilizations know we're here.

The message, transmitted to a red dwarf star 12 light-years from Earth and contains...

I have a passport book issued in NYC. I'm a white trans woman living near NYC. I pass quite well.

My age: about 30-35 years old

Date of issue: Late 2018

Date of expiry: Late 2028

Sex listed on passport: F

Sex on my drivers license: F

Assigned...

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/31044)Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2025, the US Congress has passed a bill which...

BUY: good SHORT: bad Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.

BUY: good SHORT: bad Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.

Elon Musk plays fast and loose with the rules. He has a friend who does, too. Will one get bored of the other’s shenanigans? And where will that leave Musk?

Background: The CFTC ruled that PredictIt must cease operating prediction markets in the US. Many have speculated that Kalshi was primarily responsible for the shutdown. Apparently someone filed a Freedom of Information request about the CFTC's...

The FTC is currently attempting to ban noncompetes nationwide.

Resolves to YES if the FTC follows through with their ban, a legal challenge to the ban makes it to the Supreme Court, and Surpreme Court wholly or partially strikes down the ban..

This market concerns AOH1996, a cancer therapeutic reported in this paper.

It is currently in Phase I trial.

This market resolves to YES, if a Phase II trial is submitted and starts for any type of cancer.

Moderna has announced government $176M in funding for an mRNA H5N1 Bird Flu vaccine.

Will this vaccine be developed, produced and in "late stage" human testing by July 2021, as the story suggests? https://deepnewz..

This market resolves YES if it turns out that the events of Hollow Knight: Silksong occur BEFORE the events of Hollow Knight.

It resolves NO if it turns out that the events of Hollow Knight: Silksong occur AFTER the events of Hollow Knight.

Hollow...

This question will be resolved in the affirmative if Benjamin Netanyahu is the leader of the Likud party on the next Israeli legislative election night.

Elections are formally slated for 2026, although can be called earlier.

Will replies to ten well-engineered GPT-5 prompts in my area of expertise outperform my own answers to them?

Example of what I mean by a well-engineered prompt: "The following is an excerpt from the 'Guyton & Hall' authoritative textbook on human...

This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.

We are not concerned with precision down to the level of generating a good Settings menu, but trying to take a qualitative look at how relevant...

This is obviously Photoshopped, but will he do it for real like when he bought Twitter?

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