This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil...

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s...

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's...

To resolve YES, there must be credible reports that:

1. A CECOT detainee deported from the US was deliberately killed by CECOT personnel
2. There is a lack of credible evidence that the detainee committed serious violence within the prison
3. The...

Resolves YES. if Sam Altman is CEO of OpenAI at 11:59PM PT December 31, 2025. If he leaves and returns before EOY this still resolves YES.

Update 2025-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of OpenAI in the context of the...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved...

The United States has been a significant supporter of Ukraine since Russia's full-scale invasion began in February 2022. Recently, there have been diplomatic efforts to negotiate a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. The U.S. has temporarily...

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.

If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this...

Resolution Criteria:

The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) exceeds $169,000 USD at any point on April 20, 2025, based on data from Coinbase. The price must be reflected as the high price in any 1-minute candlestick during the 24-hour period...

As of market creation, Sysco is estimated to release earnings on April 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Sysco’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.94 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sysco reports...

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from...

BUY: good SHORT: bad Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.

This is a duplicate of the market that resolved NO on 12/31/2024: https://manifold.markets/Jacy/will-ai-generate-realistic-video-of

Note: This is an effort to make relatively objective, transparent Manifold markets that predict AI capabilities. I...

In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for April 22 at 7:30 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "D.C. United SC".

If the game is...

A "bank run" meaning that many users become concerned they won't be able to withdraw their mana and rush to do so before other people do. It is not necessary that Manifold actually runs out of USD to fulfill charity donations.

I may bet on this market.

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 21 at 7:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Over" if the Canadiens and Lightning combine to score 7 or more goals in this game.

If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Pokrovskoe, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (47.984559° N, 36.228316° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Territory will be considered...

[tweet][tweet]Update 2024-31-12 (PST): - The resolution period can be extended as long as the cases are still ongoing. (AI summary of creator comment)

Update 2024-31-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:

The...