Will Mikaela Shiffrin win the 2024/25 FIS Alpine Ski World Cup?

The season starts on 27 October 2024 in Solden.

Resolves YES if Mikaela Shiffrin wins the 2024/25 season.

Wiki: LINK

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before July 1, 2025, there is credible evidence of Indian military forces crossing into Pakistani territory with the intent to engage in combat operations. Such evidence may include official...

When GPT5 comes out, lists its capabilities according to all quantifiable metrics, and compare that to the same for GPT4 and GPT3.

If Capabilities(GPT5-GPT4) < Capabilities(GPT4-GPT3), this market resolves YES.

Otherwise, this market resolves NO..

Will there be a major change with Trump's election such that the U.S. does not live in a traditional US Democracy anymore? Such conditions would include things like: Trump running for a 3rd term, declaration of Martial Law at any point, removing...

Advancements in artificial intelligence, robotics, and automation have the potential to reshape economies on a global scale. The extent to which machines and AI can capture value in the global economic landscape can serve as a barometer for assessing...

https://www.businessinsider.com/us-would-destroy-taiwan-semiconductor-factories-avoid-china-trump-adviser-2023-3

Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) refers to a level of artificial intelligence that surpasses the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest, including scientific creativity, general wisdom, and social skills. Unlike...

Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

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Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter of 2025 (Q2 2025) is reported as positive by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The official advance...

Python's creator Guido van Rossum and the Python Steering Council have explicitly stated there are no plans to release Python 4. After the challenging transition from Python 2 to Python 3, which took many years and caused significant compatibility...

Will resolve to YES if at any point between now and 1st of January 2035 there is a person on the Forbes real-time billionaires list (or an equivalent metric if this no longer exists) who has a net worth of over 1 trillion USD. Otherwise it will...

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if the French government officially recognizes Palestine as a sovereign state on or before December 31, 2025. This includes any formal declaration, diplomatic announcement, or legal action that...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol

This market resolves YES if the number of federal employees decreases by more than 500,000 relative to the January 2025 count, as measured by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series CES9091000001 before January 2026.

As of February 2025,...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of...

Sibelco is basically the world's only supplier of ultra-pure quartz. Their mining and processing facilities for ultra-pure quartz are located in Spruce Pine, NC, which has experienced flooding as a result of Hurricane Helene. The ultra-pure quartz...

Background "Grok" is an AI model developed by xAI, Elon Musk's artificial intelligence company, launched in 2023. Air traffic control (ATC) is a critical service that helps guide aircraft, maintain safe distances between flights, and manage the flow...

The 2025 UCI Road Cycling World Championships are scheduled to happen in Rwanda in September.

This market aims to forecast whether the event will happen as planned in Rwanda.

To resolve Yes, all of the following events must take place in Rwanda...

In a column for the New York times in 2018, Paul Krugman wrote,

To some extent gold is in a similar situation. Most gold just sits there, possessing value because people believe it possesses value. But gold does have real-world uses, both for...