I'm currently 28 years old. I have no major health issues or family history of health issues, other than one relative's case of diabetes. I drive a few times a week and generally don't participate in dangerous activities.

I love my life and want to...

This market shall resolve as Yes if the Supreme Court, in the first ruling on either Little v. Hecox or West Virginia v. B.P.J., subsequent to the launch of this market on January 14, 2026, issues an opinion or order by the End Date listed below,...

"To Mars" just means that the target of the mission is, in some meaningful sense, the planet Mars. It doesn't have to be a landing; an orbit around the planet or a close flyby also qualify. However simply going out past Mars's orbital distance from...

Original title: Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024, then regain it in 2026?

BUY: good SHORT: bad Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.

Another way to phrase this question could be "Will Pike.art be the new MidJourney for AI videos at the end of 2024?"

I will resolve this market by starting a poll 1 week before the end of the market asking whether Manifold users consider Pika.art to...

Greenland is currently an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark with a population of about 56,000 people. The island has strategic importance due to its location in the Arctic, mineral resources, and potential shipping routes as polar...

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on May 13, 2026 and by the End Date listed below, the U.S. House of Representatives passes legislation that would have the effect of imposing new restrictions...

Chinese foreign exchange rules cap the maximum amount of yuan individuals are allowed to convert into other currencies at approximately $50,000 each year and restrict them from transferring yuan abroad directly without prior approval from the State...

Resolves to the percentage reported by the most current publicly available community-wide survey by the end of 2025.

In the 2020 survey, 29% of respondents were non-male:

https://rethinkpriorities.org/publications/eas2020-demographics

In the 2022...

Will Harris receive more than the 81,286,454 votes that Biden achieved in the 2020 election?

If anything, support and trust in Russian President Vladimir Putin has increased since the war in Ukraine started at the end of February 2022.

According to the independent Levada Center polling agency, 81% of Russians surveyed in January 2022 said...

Associated grant: Fortify Health — General Support (2019). Resolution: July 2020

See: https://www.natesilver.net/p/sonia-sotomayors-retirement-is-a

He must be at a leadership role in the company in question.

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Since the tragic passing of NASCAR legend Dale Earnhardt Sr on the last lap of the 2001 Daytona 500, there have been no driver fatalities in any of NASCAR's three highest series. Five more drivers perished in lower-leveled series between 2001 and...

This question resolves YES if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2025.

Note: Merely changing his title from CEO to something else would not count.

See also:

@/cash/will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-ceo-of-s-l0nSChUR5t...

Does the recent American popularity of TikTok, RedNote, Genshin Impact and DeepSeek, etc., lead to a change in how Americans view China? Do these items change the popular narrative of China from negative to positive?

Will the percent of Americans...

Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_777X