Cultivated meat is animal meat that is produced by cultivating animal cells directly. Cultivated meat is made of the same cell types arranged in the same or similar structure as animal tissues, thus replicating the sensory and nutritional profiles of...

In August 2022, US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan. Due to the fraught relations between the US and China regarding Taiwan, the visit attracted considerable media attention and was followed by large-scale Chinese military exercises....

Israel has stated that it would not allow Iran to possess a nuclear weapon, which is widely seen to include a possible military strike by Israel against Iran (Politico, Al Jazeera, FOXNews). The geographic origin of and weaponry used in a military...

If the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items is ||Above/Below/Between|| ||Percent|| in || Year || according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that the...

As of writing, there is a large outbreak of H5Nx avian influenza among wild birds from the 2.3.4.4b clade. These are primarily H5N1. H5N6 and H5N8 specimens of this clade have previously been common as well. Infections of mammals have been observed,...

In the wake of the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan has remained an unrecognized state. The United States has said it is premature to recognize the Taliban. The US has also said that recognition of the Taliban...

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the U.S. House of Representatives, by simple majority, votes to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Joe Biden prior to either the End Date listed below or the end of...

A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes.

This market is proposed by Animal Spirits.. The...

Every year, Time magazine publishes an issue with a person of the year, ostensibly the person with the greatest impact on the news of that year.

Since 2000, every Time person of the year on an election year was the president-elect; George Bush in...

This market will be settled on the morning of the General Election following the start of voting or on Jan 1 2024. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is...

Mass protests have erupted across Israel for weeks as the government seeks to amend its quasi-constitutional Basic Law regarding the judiciary to, among other things, give the government more influence on the selection of judges in the country (Voice...

For the purposes of this question, a CCTA is an 1] act of terrorism [2] involving multiple perpetrators working in concert [3] initiated with little or no warning [4] and employing one or more weapon systems (e.g., firearms, explosives, fire as a...

Weapons in which the energy is provided by nuclear fission or fusion have only twice in history been detonated outside of a controlled test environment, in the Hiroshima and Nagasaki events in World War II.

Since then, the world has nearly gone to...

As the two most populous nations on the planet, both at somewhat similar stages of economic development, the economic prospects of China and India are frequently compared. A FocusEconomics article describes their economic history and outlook as...

Related questions on Metaculus:

• Will there be a major nuclear or radiological accident before 1 January 2022?

The International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES) was introduced in 1990 by the International Atomic Energy Agency...

Cultivated meat is fast approaching the point of scalability. No longer as cost-prohibitive as before, companies like Eat Just can now sell their cultivated meat chicken nuggets in Singapore for $23.

And it's not just Eat Just in the cultivated meat...

Please note that the value is not the average price level in 2022 divided by the average price level in 2021, but rather is the one decimal-value change from December 2021 to December 2022 divided by the December 2021 index value, as reported by the...

The relationship between Iran and Israel has been fraught since the Islamic Revolution in Iran in 1979. Iran officially recognizes Israel as an illegitimate entity and has supported various anti-Israel militant groups, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon....

Elon Musk is a technology company founder and business executive whose net worth, depending on the fortunes of the stock market, has often ranked him as the world’s wealthiest person. He first made a fortune as a member of “the Paypal Mafia”; today...

This is a market on whether Ukraine will sever Russia's land bridge to Crimea at any point before September 31, 2023. The primary resolution source will be the Institute for the Study of War (ISW): https://storymaps.arcgis..