Symbolic regression looks for concise, human readable mathematical expressions to describe functional dependences in data. Ultimately a very effective symbolic regression technique can be conceived of as a system for automatic discovery of physical...

Resolves as YES if there is a Dyson Sphere around the Sun on January 1st 2040, capable of harnessing at least 1% of its power output. This artificial megastructure must at least be distributed in a ring around the Sun (i.e. it cannot be focused as a...

From Wikipedia,

A lockdown is a restriction policy for people or community to stay where they are, usually due to specific risks to themselves or to others if they can move and interact freely. The term "stay-at-home" or "shelter-in-place" is...

As of July 2024, the United Nations has 193 member states. This question asks whether that number will increase before the start of 2026.

Joining the UN requires a recommendation from the Security Council and a two-thirds majority vote in the...

As defined by Freedom House rating the US as "not free" at any point between now and 2033. 39% of Americans believe this will happen.

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This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary. I will...

All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' 5 AI Predictions For The Year 2030.

Also, don't miss Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2024" (all gathered under one tag.

I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their...

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official...

I have a seperate question where you are able to add your own answers for possible moves for yourself, I will play as white and each move will be chosen by whichever answer has the highest probability, this market resolves when the chess game ends..

This market resolves one year after Vladamir Putin's death. If at that time it is generally accepted that Putin likely was suffering from cancer in 2022 or 2023, whether or not that was his ultimate cause of death, this market resolves YES. Otherwise...

Which party will win the popular vote in Massachusetts at the 2024 US presidential election?

For the HLS development & service contract, SpaceX added a demonstration mission of landing their Starship-based HLS in advance of Artemis III. If they manage to put a Starship demonstration vehicle on the lunar surface by the end of 2025, this...

Donor-advised funds (DAFs) are institutions with which an individual can open an account, contribute financial assets, and invest tax-free before disbursing to an eligible nonprofit. In the United States, DAF accounts are not subject to disbursement...

Roger Hallam has claimed "12 per cent of the population of Phoenix, Arizona will die of extreme heat in the 2030s." Market resolves yes if extreme heat is credibly the cause of "you can predict 180,000 deaths during the 2030s - ie., 12% of the...

There hasn’t been a McDonalds’s restaurant in Iran since 1979 before the revolution. One tried to open in 1994 but closed after protestors attacked it within days.

Resolves to YES if it happens.

Resolves to NO if it doesn't.

For example: ATH now is 410. So if it goes down to 41, that will resolve to YES.

If new ATH of 500 is reached, then down to 50 will count as a crash and resolve to YES.

Update...

Advanced nanotechnology, specifically atomically precise manufacturing (APM), holds potential for revolutionizing industries and technology. Ben Snodin, a researcher with a relevant PhD, defines "complex APM" as an intricate system of very stiff...

If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2050, then this market resolves to NO.

If humanity is not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES.

See also:

@/TeddyWeverka/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-8d4b1732d830...

Resolves YES if I feel I've gotten more money or other items of material value out of Manifold than I've put in. Charity donations count as material value, so if I make 10 million mana and donate it all, that'll count. But if charity donations go...

As of 2024, NVIDIA has 80% control over the global GPU semiconductor chip market.

At its recent GTC 2024 (March 18-21, San Jose) the company unveiled its Blackwell chip series, the most powerful GPU optimized for AI. The chip houses 208B...