Belize and Guatamala are in dispute over an area of land south of the Siburn river. Currently both countries have asked the ICJ to resolve the issue and they are submitting briefs.
The area of land in question is approximately 12,000 km2....
Greece and Turkey have a long history of hostilities between each other. Greece, which was once under the rule of the Ottoman empire, only gained its independence in the 1820s. Since then, tensions have generally been high between the two nations and...
From Wikipedia,
Before, during, and after Election Day, Trump and numerous Republicans attempted to subvert the [2020 election] and overturn the results, falsely alleging that there had been widespread voter fraud, and trying to influence the vote...
NASA's Artemis program is a series of missions to explore the moon. The first mission, Artemis I, was launched on November 16, 2022, and performed an uncrewed flyby of the moon.
The second mission, Artemis II, is planned to be the first crewed...
Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Western countries have repeatedly claimed that they will not directly engage Russian forces. However, recent news have mentioned a possibility of escalation, including France (one of the five recognized...
SpaceX recently released a detailed plan (transcription and slides here) to send people to Mars using an "Interplanetary Transport System" based on heavily reusable launch boosters, tanker-assisted refueling in low-Earth orbit, and a futuristic...
Related Questions on Metaculus:
- Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?
- If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?
Puerto Rico was aquired as a territory of the USA in...
The National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) was enacted in 1970 and established a process for the review of the environmental impact of projects within the federal purview. It also established the Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ), an office of...
SARS-CoV-2, the virus causing COVID-19, constantly evolves through genetic mutations and recombinations, leading to numerous variants that differ from the original strain.
SARS-CoV-2 variants are categorized based on their genetic mutations and the...
Common usage of ChatGPT by OpenAI, launched in Nov 2022, greatly reduces the difficulty of artificially generating text. One possible implication of this is an increase in AI-written text on social media, which may challenge norms and assumptions...
Nigeria experienced nine attempted or successful coups between 1966 and 1993. The country exited military rule in 1999.
Recent (starting 2021) military coups or coup attempts in Western Africa and the Sahel region have occurred in Niger, Mali,...
Erratic trading in stock markets like the NYSE, NASDAQ, and LSE is an increasing problem, though as of May 2023, not directly due to AI, though perhaps due to high-frequency trading (HFT).
Examples of Flash Crashes were the 2010 drop of 1,000 points...
The question Date first AGI is publicly known. asks When will the first AGI be first developed and demonstrated?.
Today, research groups at both for-profit corporations and universities are working on developing general reasoning systems. Other...
Phillips curves are a class of models which propose connections between the inflation rate and the unemployment rate in an economy. If there is some such relationship, we might expect that knowing both today's unemployment rate and last year's...
This market will be settled based on Angela Rayner's role within the Labour Party at the start of voting on the day of the next UK General Election labour.org.uk along with any official announcements from the Labour Party will be used as result...
One way of dividing the space of possible futures is to consider whether transformative AI will lead to a singleton, which would be a huge change in the world order and a huge concentration of power, or a multipolar world, which would still be...
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