36%
Unlikely

GiveWell is a charity evaluator that recommends a shortlist of charities in the field of global development that have the greatest impact per marginal donation. Towards this end, they try to quantify the effects of different interventions by...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 149
40%
About Even

GiveWell has recommended grants to over 10 charities over the years. They are currently investigating 14 charity areas including breastfeeding promotion.

The following sections are quoted from GiveWell’s explanation of the topic:

“The World Health...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 118
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 82

Each year, the Effective Altruism Survey tracks information about how the EA community donates. For example, the 2019 survey found that, in 2018, survey participants reported $4 million in donations to specific charities, broken down into five cause...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 25

Each year, the Effective Altruism Survey tracks information about how the EA community donates. For example, the 2019 survey found that, in 2018, survey participants reported $4 million in donations to specific charities, broken down into five cause...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 22

Each year, the Effective Altruism Survey tracks information about how the EA community donates. For example, the 2019 survey found that, in 2018, survey participants reported $4 million in donations to specific charities. The Against Malaria...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 40
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 200
35%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Georgetown University Initiative on Innovation, Development, and Evaluation — Zusha! Road Safety Campaign

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
10%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Georgetown University Initiative on Innovation, Development, and Evaluation — Zusha! Road Safety Campaign. Resolution: By year-end 2017

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
★★☆☆☆
Foretold
Forecasts: 5
★★☆☆☆
Foretold
Forecasts: 5
★★☆☆☆
Foretold
Forecasts: 5
17%
Unlikely
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
30%
Unlikely
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
45%
About Even
★★☆☆☆
Foretold
Forecasts: 5
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
80%
Likely

Associated grant: Charity Science: Health — General Support

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
30%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Evidence Action Beta — Incubator Program. Resolution: December 2023

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
15%
Unlikely

Associated grant: IDinsight — Endline Evaluation of New Incentives RCT. Resolution: November 2020

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
10%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Evidence Action Beta — Incubator Program. Resolution: December 2023

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
55%
About Even

Associated grant: Evidence Action Beta — Incubator Program. Resolution: December 2023

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy

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