36%
Unlikely

GiveWell is a charity evaluator that recommends a shortlist of charities in the field of global development that have the greatest impact per marginal donation. Towards this end, they try to quantify the effects of different interventions by...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 145
40%
About Even

GiveWell has recommended grants to over 10 charities over the years. They are currently investigating 14 charity areas including breastfeeding promotion.

The following sections are quoted from GiveWell’s explanation of the topic:

“The World Health...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 114
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 82
84%
Likely

Animal Charity Evaluators (ACE) is an organisation that reviews animal welfare charities in order to recommend the most cost-effective organisations to donate to. Charities that they evaluate as having a good track record, room for more funding, and...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 332

Project for Awesome is a yearly livestream event hosted by John & Hank Green's Foundation for World Suck in which participants create short videos advocating for charities. Money raised during the second half of the livestream is granted to the...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 25

Each year, the Effective Altruism Survey tracks information about how the EA community donates. For example, the 2019 survey found that, in 2018, survey participants reported $4 million in donations to specific charities, broken down into five cause...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 25

Each year, the Effective Altruism Survey tracks information about how the EA community donates. For example, the 2019 survey found that, in 2018, survey participants reported $4 million in donations to specific charities, broken down into five cause...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 22

Each year, the Effective Altruism Survey tracks information about how the EA community donates. For example, the 2019 survey found that, in 2018, survey participants reported $4 million in donations to specific charities. The Against Malaria...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 40
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 198
35%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Georgetown University Initiative on Innovation, Development, and Evaluation — Zusha! Road Safety Campaign

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
10%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Georgetown University Initiative on Innovation, Development, and Evaluation — Zusha! Road Safety Campaign. Resolution: By year-end 2017

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
Foretold
Forecasts: 5
★★☆☆☆
Foretold
Forecasts: 5
★★☆☆☆
Foretold
Forecasts: 5
50%
About Even
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
45%
About Even
★★☆☆☆
Foretold
Forecasts: 5
80%
Likely

Associated grant: Charity Science: Health — General Support

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
30%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Evidence Action Beta — Incubator Program. Resolution: December 2023

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
15%
Unlikely

Associated grant: IDinsight — Endline Evaluation of New Incentives RCT. Resolution: November 2020

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy
10%
Unlikely

Associated grant: Evidence Action Beta — Incubator Program. Resolution: December 2023

★★☆☆☆
GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy

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