45%
About Even

Professional tennis is divided into two tours, the ATP for men and the WTA for women. There has been speculation for some time whether they will merge into a single tour. This happened most recently following Roger Federer's tweet in 2020:

Just...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 92
25%
Unlikely

This is a market about whether the SOL/ETH price according to Binance reaches a new recent high by January 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET.

If the SOL/ETH price is greater than .05538 (reached on December 25, 2023 ET) at any point between December 28, 2023 and...

★★★☆☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $1.6k

Ethereum is a decentralized, open-source blockchain platform that enables the creation and execution of smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps).

The platform's native cryptocurrency is Ether (ETH), which is used to pay for...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 74
70%
Likely

The Nobel Prize-winning detection of gravitational waves added a new observational tool for astronomers to use in studying celestial events. But an as-yet-unobserved phenomenon would make all the gravitational wave detections so far seem like small...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 373
37%
At least $3,500, but less than $4,000
22%
At least $3,000, but less than $3,500
16%
At least $4,000, but less than $4,500
8%
At least $4,500, but less than $5,000
6%
At least $2,500, but less than $3,000
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 42
Forecasters: 27

An NFT (or Non-Fungible Token) is a unique cryptographic token. It can be used for art, collectibles, and online gaming.

By March 2021, the most expensive NFT ever sold was the Alien character from the CryptoPunks series, according to Hackernoon....

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 169
11%
Unlikely

This market will resolve to "Yes" if $Bitcoin (HarryPotterObamaSonic10Inu) reaches a new all time high between December 28, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for...

★★★☆☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $1.0k
12%
Unlikely

Ethereum is the second biggest cryptocurrency, with a market cap of approximately $200 billion.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler has said that many crypto tokens are securities, and in June 2023, the SEC charged both Coinbase and Binance with...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 36
20%
Unlikely

QS World University Rankings:

The QS World University Rankings is a prominent ranking system for universities globally. It considers various factors like academic reputation, employer reputation, faculty-student ratio, research citations, and...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 16
1%
Exceptionally unlikely

At present, the leading answer, by a significant margin, to Eliezer Yudkowsky's Manifold Markets question, "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?", is "Humanity successfully coordinates worldwide to prevent...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 132
20%
Unlikely

Note: This market is denominated in Ethereum. This market will pay out one unit of ethereum for each Yes contract in the event that Kamala Harris becomes the 47th President by the end of January, 2025. One can buy fractional shares on this market....

★★☆☆☆
Insight
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets