92%
Very likely

This market shall resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin holds the office of President of Russia without interruption through December 31st, 2023. Resolution Source: https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/
The "Bet Locks" feature is enabled. This means...

★★★★☆
Insight
Volume: $13k
40%
Donald Trump
38%
Joe Biden
3%
Robert F.Kennedy Jr
3%
Michelle Obama
2%
Gavin Newsom
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £14530k
91%
The election was no different than previous elections, with minor fraud incidents that did not change the outcome.
4%
The election outcome was manipulated through a centralized mass computer fraud, involving a significant portion of US electronic voting equipment.
4%
The election outcome was manipulated through the centrally coordinated effort of multiple people.
< 1%
The election outcome was manipulated through many local and uncoordinated frauds, whether human or machine-based.
★★★★☆
Rootclaim
Forecasts: 1
49%
Democratic Party
47%
Republican Party
4%
Any Other
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £377k
67%
Joe Biden
18%
Donald Trump
4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
2%
Michelle Obama
1%
Kamala Harris
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £391k
7%
Very unlikely

The last federal <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-signs-17t-government-spending-bill-ensuring-funding/story?id=95934378" target="_blank">shutdown</a> <a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R41759"...

★★★★☆
Good Judgment
76%
Democratic Party
21%
Republican Party
3%
Any Other
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £212k
80%
Kamala Harris
5%
Michelle Obama
4%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Gavin Newsom
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £73k
18%
Tim Scott
11%
Tulsi Gabbard
9%
Kristi Noem
6%
J.D. Vance
5%
Elise Stefanik
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £508k
85%
Joe Biden
5%
Michelle Obama
2%
Gavin Newsom
2%
Kamala Harris
< 1%
Gretchen Whitmer
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £7901k
83%
Joe Biden/Donald Trump
5%
Michelle Obama/Donald Trump
3%
Gavin Newsom/Donald Trump
2%
Joe Biden/Nikki Haley
2%
Dean Phillips/Donald Trump
★★★★☆
Betfair
Volume: £364k
78%
Likely

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Biden wins the Democratic nomination for president of the United States and Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president of the United States in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise,...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $7.2k
95%
Kemalists in the Turkish military were behind the coup attempt.
4%
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan staged the coup as a false-flag attack.
2%
Supporters of Fethullah Gulen were behind the coup attempt.
★★★★☆
Rootclaim
Forecasts: 1
26%
Unlikely

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race.

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $6.7k
84%
Likely

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources,...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $155k
12%
Unlikely

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nimrata Nikki Haley wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP...

★★★★☆
PolyMarket
Liquidity: $3.3k
86%
No, Putin does not have cancer, and has not had cancer in the last 10 years.
13%
Yes, Putin either has, or had within the last 10 years, any type of cancer (excluding thyroid).
< 1%
Yes, Putin either has, or had in the last 10 years, thyroid cancer.
★★★★☆
Rootclaim
Forecasts: 1
61%
Donald Trump
35%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Tom Cotton
★★★★☆
Insight
Volume: $21k
73%
Joe Biden
14%
Pete Buttigieg
8%
Gavin Newsom
6%
Kamala Harris
4%
Hillary Clinton
★★★★☆
Insight
Volume: $10k
82%
Yes, Pakistani intelligence (but not the government) knew that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.
10%
No, Pakistan didn't know that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.
9%
Yes, the Pakistani government knew that Bin Laden was in Abbottabad.
★★★★☆
Rootclaim
Forecasts: 1
42%
The Russian Air Force carried out the attack.
40%
The Russian and Syrian air forces carried out the attack jointly.
13%
The Syrian Air Force carried out the attack.
5%
Opposition ground forces carried out the attack.
< 1%
The US Air Force carried out the attack.
★★★★☆
Rootclaim
Forecasts: 1

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