Will there be two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth after revisions in 2025?
This includes spillover from the last quarter of 2024, so the ones that count would be:
2024 Q4 negative Q1 negative
Q1 negative Q2 negative
Q2 negative...
Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters. Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters.
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.
Resolves YES if there are two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth, with the starting quarter between the last quarter of 2025 and end of 2026. Otherwise NO.
Resolves according to BEA data, 3rd estimate. See https://www.bea..
Resolves YES if the Chinese economy has two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth by the end of 2025.
Jul 29, 8:09am: Will China'a economy enter a recession by 2025? → Will China's economy enter a recession by 2025?
A recession is defined as 2 consecutive quarters where the GDP is negative. We will use the initial estimate provided, not any revised estimates.
Both quarters must occur in 2025, ie Q3 and Q4 having negative GDP will resolve this market to YES....
Will resolve "yes" if a recession at any time during Trump's second term. A recession is defined as EITHER i) 2 consecutive quarters where the GDP is negative OR ii) a recession of at least 6 months in length is declared by the National Bureau of...
Resolves YES if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee declares, by the end of 2025, US Eastern Time, that the US entered a recession at any point in 2023 or 2024. Resolves NO on 2026-01-01 otherwise.
For a derivative market that resolves sooner,...
Resolves YES if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee declares, by the end of 2026, US Eastern Time, that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 or 2025. Resolves NO on 2027-01-01 otherwise.
Resolves YES if there are two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth, with the starting quarter between start of 2024 and end of 2025. Otherwise NO.
Resolves according to BEA data, 3rd estimate. See https://www.bea..
Resolves YES if there are two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth, with the starting quarter between 2024 Q3 and 2025 Q2 (inclusive). Otherwise NO.
Resolves according to BEA data, 3rd estimate. See https://www.bea..
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia conducts a quarterly survey of professional economic forecasters.
The survey is conducted immediately following the Bureau of Economic Analysis issuing its advance GDP estimate for the previous quarter...