Wikipedia:

The 2024 United States Senate elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular election.

Neuroscientist and fiction author Erik Hoel predicted the following about women in the US in the year 2050 in a blog post published August 25, 2021:

By 2050 there will be near-domination of society and the economy by women. [...] Just as the...

Cris Ericson has been a candidate every two years in Vermont from 2002 to 2020 and has lost every election. She is known as the cannabis legalization candidate in Vermont. Cannabis is now legal under VT state law, but not under federal laws.

Cris...

So-called "third parties" are political parties in the United State that aren't the Democratic Party or the Republican Party. Members of third parties) rarely win elections in America. However, the last third party member who won a senate election...

Blake Masters) is a Republican politician and a candidate for the United States Senate in Arizona. He has a close relationship with tech billionaire Peter Thiel, and wrote the book Zero to One based on notes he took from Thiel's class at Stanford,...

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC; also called Taiwan Semiconductor) is the world's most valuable semiconductor company. NVIDIA, the main manufacturer of GPUs powering most top AI models such as OpenAI's GPT-4, spends billions...

Under 3 U.S.C. §15, the US Houses of Congress meet on January 6th following the election to count the votes of the electoral college.

If there are any objections to the returns from any state, they must be resolved before the process can continue to...

The original wager for this question appeared here and was made January 1, 2021.

Caplan writes:

I’ve already seen George Mason University badly mistreat non-conformist professors. Should I expect the same to happen to me? I wouldn’t be...

In September 2021, the US White House released a pandemic preparedness plan — American Pandemic Preparedness: Transforming our Capabilities. The White House says that the aim is to "lean forward and catalyze the advances in science, technology, and...

This question is part of the Understanding AI Series with Timothy B Lee and was inspired by this post.

Waymo, the Alphabet-owned self-driving technology company, has emerged as a pioneer in the development of autonomous vehicles. Since its inception...

Related Questions on Metaculus:

• Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?
• If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

Puerto Rico was aquired as a territory of the USA in...

Related Questions on Metaculus:

• Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?
• If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

Puerto Rico was aquired as a territory of the USA in...

In 2023, the state of Tennessee adopted Senate Bill 1, which, prohibits medical treatments intended to allow “a minor to identify with, or live as, a purported identity inconsistent with the minor’s sex” or to treat “purported discomfort or distress...