51%
The Republican Party candidate
49%
The Democratic Party candidate
< 1%
Someone else
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 69
Forecasters: 42
58%
The Republican Party candidate
42%
The Democratic Party candidate
< 1%
Someone else
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 50
Forecasters: 34
72%
Republican Control
28%
Democrat Control

This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. The party deemed to control the United States...

★★★☆☆
Betfair
Volume: £3.7k
74%
Likely

Wikipedia:

The 2024 United States Senate elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular election.

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 650
57%
The Republican Party candidate
43%
The Democratic Party candidate
< 1%
Someone else
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 73
Forecasters: 48
58%
The Republican Party candidate
42%
The Democratic Party candidate
< 1%
Someone else
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 81
Forecasters: 50
68%
The Democratic Party candidate
30%
The Republican Party candidate
1%
Someone else
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 100
Forecasters: 61
66%
Democratic
33%
Republican
< 1%
Independent
★★★☆☆
PredictIt
Shares vol.: 315k
54%
Republican
46%
Democratic

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2024 U.S. Senate election in Ohio. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed...

★★★☆☆
PredictIt
Shares vol.: 215k
20%
Unlikely

Neuroscientist and fiction author Erik Hoel predicted the following about women in the US in the year 2050 in a blog post published August 25, 2021:

By 2050 there will be near-domination of society and the economy by women. [...] Just as the...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 128
60%
The Democratic Party candidate
40%
The Republican Party candidate
< 1%
Someone else
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 86
Forecasters: 48
67%
The Democratic Party candidate
33%
The Republican Party candidate
< 1%
Someone else
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 87
Forecasters: 51
60%
The Democratic Party candidate
40%
The Republican Party candidate
< 1%
Someone else
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 67
Forecasters: 44
67%
The Democratic Party candidate
32%
The Republican Party candidate
< 1%
Someone else
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 89
Forecasters: 58
1%
Exceptionally unlikely

Cris Ericson has been a candidate every two years in Vermont from 2002 to 2020 and has lost every election. She is known as the cannabis legalization candidate in Vermont. Cannabis is now legal under VT state law, but not under federal laws.

Cris...

★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 46
27%
John Cornyn (TX)
18%
John Thune (SD)
15%
Someone else
12%
Ron Johnson (WI)
9%
Steve Daines (MT)
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 47
Forecasters: 26
55%
Republican Party
45%
Democratic Party

As of 18 January 2024, 34 seats in the US Senate were up for election in 2024, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the Senate in the 2020 elections (270 to Win). Elections are scheduled for 5 November 2024 (Ballotpedia). If...

★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 358
Forecasters: 201
50%
About Even
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 262
88%
Andy Kim
5%
Bob Menendez
4%
Someone else
4%
Tammy Murphy
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 147
Forecasters: 68
63%
Yes, and he will win more than 50.0% of the vote
28%
Yes, but he will win 50.0% or less of the vote
8%
No, someone else will win
1%
No, Peter Meijer will win
< 1%
No, Justin Amash will win
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 50
Forecasters: 28
63%
More than 50.0% but less than 53.0%
26%
53.0% or more
7%
50.0% or less but will win the election
4%
50.0% or less and will not win the election
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 35
Forecasters: 22

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