This market will resolve to YES if Georgia Governor Brian Kemp runs for the United States Senate seat in Georgia in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Hegseth becomes the first member of President Donald Trump's second-term cabinet to be dismissed, fail, or resign. The market will resolve to "No" if any other cabinet member is...

Will there be a major change with Trump's election such that the U.S. does not live in a traditional US Democracy anymore? Such conditions would include things like: Trump running for a 3rd term, declaration of Martial Law at any point, removing...