How many deaths attributed to H5N1 avian influenza will the World Health Organization (WHO) report between 7 February 2023 and 31 December 2024?

Good Judgment
★★★★☆
> 99%
Fewer than 100
Fewer than 100
Between 10,000 and 100,000, inclusive
Between 100 and 1,000, inclusive
More than 1,000 but fewer than 10,000
More than 100,000

Question description

There have been relatively <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/flu/avianflu/h5n1-threat.htm" target="_blank">few</a> reported human deaths attributed to H5N1 over the past two decades, but there are <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/03/opinion/bird-flu-h5n1-pandemic.html" target="_blank">fears</a> that it could mutate to more readily infect humans and bring rise to a new pandemic. The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data including the entire pertinent time period once published by <a href="https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/influenza-%28avian-and-other-zoonotic%29" target="_blank">WHO</a> (see also <a href="https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/wprodocuments/emergency/surveillance/avian-influenza/ai_20230106.pdf" target="_blank">this</a>).

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> 99%
Fewer than 100
< 1%
Between 100 and 1,000, inclusive
< 1%
More than 1,000 but fewer than 10,000
< 1%
Between 10,000 and 100,000, inclusive
< 1%
More than 100,000
Last updated: 2024-05-05
★★★★☆
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