At close of business on 31 December 2022, what will be the upper limit of the US federal funds target range?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
68%
Between 3.25 and 3.75, inclusive
Between 3.25 and 3.75, inclusive
Higher than 2.25 but lower than 3.25
Between 1.75 and 2.25, inclusive
Higher than 3.75
Lower than 1.75

Question description

The Federal Reserve has begun tightening monetary policy as the US faces historic levels of inflation (CNBC). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED, Federal Reserve). As of Friday 27 May 2022, the upper limit of the US federal funds target range was 1.00%. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts266
Forecasters57

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Resizable preview:
68%
Between 3.25 and 3.75, inclusive
32%
Higher than 2.25 but lower than 3.25
< 1%
Lower than 1.75
< 1%
Between 1.75 and 2.25, inclusive
< 1%
Higher than 3.75
Last updated: 2022-08-08
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 266
Forecasters: 57

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