What will be the total number of housing starts in the US in 2023?

Good Judgment Open
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64%
Between 1.30 million and 1.45 million, inclusive
Between 1.30 million and 1.45 million, inclusive
More than 1.45 million but fewer than 1.60 million
Fewer than 1.30 million
Between 1.60 million and 1.75 million, inclusive
More than 1.75 million

Question description

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the US Census Bureau (US Census Bureau). From the Census Bureau page, download the XLS file for "Housing Units Started." In the file, find the "StartsUA" sheet. The total number of starts in 2021 was 1,601.1 thousand, or 1,601,100. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts254
Forecasters44

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Resizable preview:
64%
Between 1.30 million and 1.45 million, inclusive
26%
More than 1.45 million but fewer than 1.60 million
6%
Fewer than 1.30 million
3%
Between 1.60 million and 1.75 million, inclusive
1%
More than 1.75 million
Last updated: 2023-10-03
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 254
Forecasters: 44

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