What will be the total number of housing starts in the US in 2023?
Between 1.30 million and 1.45 million, inclusive
More than 1.45 million but fewer than 1.60 million
Fewer than 1.30 million
Between 1.60 million and 1.75 million, inclusive
More than 1.75 million
Question description
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the US Census Bureau (US Census Bureau). From the Census Bureau page, download the XLS file for "Housing Units Started." In the file, find the "StartsUA" sheet. The total number of starts in 2021 was 1,601.1 thousand, or 1,601,100. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Good Judgment Open |
| Number of forecasts | 254 |
| Forecasters | 44 |
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64%
Between 1.30 million and 1.45 million, inclusive
26%
More than 1.45 million but fewer than 1.60 million
6%
Fewer than 1.30 million
3%
Between 1.60 million and 1.75 million, inclusive
1%
More than 1.75 million
Last updated: 2023-10-03
Last updated: 2023-10-03
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 254
Forecasters: 44
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