What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2023?

Good Judgment Open

★★★☆☆

59%

Higher by between 0.0% and 1.5%, inclusive

Higher by more than 1.5% but less than 3.0%

Lower by more than 0.0% but less than 1.5%

Lower by between 1.5% and 3.0%, inclusive

Higher by 3.0% or more

Question description #

Inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical instability are all headwinds for the US economy going into 2023 (US News & World Report, CNN). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED), expected in July 2023 (FRED). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators #

Indicator	Value
Stars	★★★☆☆
Platform	Good Judgment Open
Number of forecasts	201
Forecasters	36