What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2023?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
44%
Higher by between 5.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
Higher by between 5.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 5.0%
Higher by more than 6.0%
Higher by between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
Higher by less than 3.0%

Question description

China has set a GDP growth target of "around 5%" for 2023 (CNBC, IMF). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in July 2023 (Trading Economics). This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts70
Forecasters39

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Resizable preview:
44%
Higher by between 5.0% and 6.0%, inclusive
30%
Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 5.0%
15%
Higher by more than 6.0%
7%
Higher by between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
4%
Higher by less than 3.0%
Last updated: 2023-05-29
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 70
Forecasters: 39

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