What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2023?

Good Judgment Open

★★★☆☆

44%

Higher by between 5.0% and 6.0%, inclusive

Higher by more than 4.0% but less than 5.0%

Higher by more than 6.0%

Higher by between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive

Higher by less than 3.0%

Question description #

China has set a GDP growth target of "around 5%" for 2023 (CNBC, IMF). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in July 2023 (Trading Economics). This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators #

Indicator	Value
Stars	★★★☆☆
Platform	Good Judgment Open
Number of forecasts	70
Forecasters	39