What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia as of July 2024, according to the Brookings Institution's Ukraine Index?

A Ukrainian counteroffensive began in 2023, though territorial gains by November 2023 were limited (Economist, BBC, Newsweek). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported in the Brookings Institution's "Ukraine Index" (Brookings Institution - Ukraine Index, see "Percentage of Ukraine held by Russia" chart). If there is a discrepancy between the chart data and the downloaded data (see "Get the data" within the "NET TERRITORIAL GAINS" chart border), the downloaded data will be used for resolution. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.