Before 1 January 2025, will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of landing military personnel on the Pratas Islands without authorization?
Yes
Question description
Taiwan has raised concerns regarding potential actions by the People's Republic of China in the Pratas Islands (News.com.au, Newsweek, Taipei Times). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Good Judgment Open |
| Number of forecasts | 200 |
| Forecasters | 64 |
Capture
Resizable preview:
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-22
Taiwan has raised concerns regarding potential actions by the People's Republic of China in the Pratas Islands (News.com.au, Newsweek, Taipei Times). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and...
Last updated: 2024-10-22
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 200
Forecasters: 64
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