Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich was arrested in Russia on 29 March 2023 for espionage, a claim he denies ([Politico](https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2023/03/30/russias-reporter-arrest-spurs-condemnations-00089678)). US officials have said that there have been discussions with Russia on a possible prisoner exchange ([Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/media/reporter-evan-gershkovichs-imprisonment-russia-body-blow-wall-street-journal-us-work-free-him), [AP](https://apnews.com/article/russia-american-journalist-gershkovich-wsj-jail-6bd08167fc282df96a5195707e1b1157)). Gershkovich must leave Russia alive to count.
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Indicator	Value
Stars	★★★☆☆
Platform	Good Judgment Open
Number of forecasts	146
Forecasters	68

Before 6 July 2024, will American journalist Evan Gershkovich leave Russia?

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