Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of the Gaza Strip before 1 September 2024?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
66%
Likely
Yes

Question description

Fighting in Gaza since Hamas' 7 October 2023 attack and Israel's subsequent response have left the area at risk for famine (US News & World Report, World Health Organization, Famine Early Warning Systems Network, Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, ReliefWeb). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration would not count. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts346
Forecasters98

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Resizable preview:
66%
Likely

Fighting in Gaza since Hamas' 7 October 2023 attack and Israel's subsequent response have left the area at risk for famine (US News & World Report, World Health Organization, Famine Early Warning Systems Network, Integrated Food Security...

Last updated: 2024-05-29
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 346
Forecasters: 98

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