How many total vehicles will Rivian produce in 2024?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
38%
At least 44,000, but fewer than 50,000
At least 44,000, but fewer than 50,000
At least 50,000, but fewer than 56,000
At least 56,000, but fewer than 62,000
At least 62,000, but fewer than 68,000
At least 68,000, but fewer than 74,000

Question description

Electronic vehicle manufacturer Rivian disappointed analysts with a target production number of 57,000 vehicles in 2024, fewer than were produced in 2023 (US News & World Report, AP). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using Rivian's "Production & Delivery" press release for "Q4 & Full Year" of 2024 (Rivian - Investor Relations, see under "Quarterly Results"). In 2023, Rivian reported producing 57,232 vehicles (Rivian - Q4 2023 Financial Results). If Rivian does not publish full-year results, open-source information will be used to determine the number of deliveries. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts163
Forecasters48

Capture

Resizable preview:
38%
At least 44,000, but fewer than 50,000
27%
At least 50,000, but fewer than 56,000
23%
At least 56,000, but fewer than 62,000
8%
At least 62,000, but fewer than 68,000
2%
At least 68,000, but fewer than 74,000
Last updated: 2024-10-18
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 163
Forecasters: 48

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