Who will the Senate Republican conference next elect as its new leader?
John Thune (SD)
John Cornyn (TX)
Someone else
Rick Scott (FL)
No new leader will be elected before 1 January 2025
Question description
On 28 February 2024, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell announced that he will step down as the Republican leader in November 2024, which quickly triggered speculation on who would replace him (AP, Politico, Senate.gov - Party Leadership). The date the newly elected leader will fill the position is immaterial. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Indicators
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Good Judgment Open |
Number of forecasts | 84 |
Forecasters | 27 |
Capture
Resizable preview:
36%
John Thune (SD)
35%
John Cornyn (TX)
10%
Someone else
9%
Rick Scott (FL)
3%
No new leader will be elected before 1 January 2025
Last updated: 2024-09-11
Last updated: 2024-09-11
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 84
Forecasters: 27
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