Who will the Senate Republican conference next elect as its new leader?

On 28 February 2024, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell announced that he will step down as the Republican leader in November 2024, which quickly triggered speculation on who would replace him (AP, Politico, Senate.gov - Party Leadership). The date the newly elected leader will fill the position is immaterial. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.