How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen between 1 May 2024 and 31 July 2024?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
53%
At least 244 million, but fewer than 254 million
At least 244 million, but fewer than 254 million
At least 234 million, but fewer than 244 million
At least 254 million, but fewer than 264 million
At least 224 million, but fewer than 234 million
Fewer than 224 million

Question description

Total air passenger traffic in the US recovered to pre-pandemic levels in 2023 (IATA). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2024 and the outcome determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA - Passenger Throughput). Between 1 May 2023 and 31 July 2023, the TSA screened 231,565,005 travelers. This question is part of the 2024 UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts158
Forecasters57

Capture

Resizable preview:
53%
At least 244 million, but fewer than 254 million
29%
At least 234 million, but fewer than 244 million
10%
At least 254 million, but fewer than 264 million
5%
At least 224 million, but fewer than 234 million
2%
Fewer than 224 million
Last updated: 2024-05-29
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 158
Forecasters: 57

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