Will Nikol Pashinyan cease to be the prime minister of Armenia before 1 October 2024?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
25%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description

Fallout from Azerbaijan's September 2023 conquest of Nagorno-Karabakh, a region in Azerbaijan with an ethnic Armenian majority, continues to put heavy pressure on Armenia's government (Economist, AP, Politico). Pashinyan staying on in a caretaker prime minister role subsequent with his resignation as prime minister would still count as Pashinyan ceasing to be prime minister (Constitution of Armenia, see Article 149, France24). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts172
Forecasters72

Capture

Resizable preview:
25%
Unlikely

Fallout from Azerbaijan's September 2023 conquest of Nagorno-Karabakh, a region in Azerbaijan with an ethnic Armenian majority, continues to put heavy pressure on Armenia's government (Economist, AP, Politico). Pashinyan staying on in a...

Last updated: 2024-05-29
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 172
Forecasters: 72

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