Will the Kharkiv Regional State Administration building in Kharkiv, Ukraine, be under Russian control before 18 November 2024, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
9%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description

In May 2024, Russian forces began to push into the Kharkiv Oblast in the north of Ukraine (BBC, The Hill). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by the Institute for the Study of War's (ISW's) interactive map of Russia's invasion of Ukraine (ISW). The address is "Sumska St, 64, Kharkiv, Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine, 61002", to which you can zoom on the interactive map by clicking the search button on the upper left of the screen and entering the address. "Assessed Russian Advance in Ukraine," "Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours," and "Assessed Russian Control" will count, and "Reported Ukrainian Partisan Warfare" is immaterial. Whether the building is damaged or destroyed is immaterial. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts102
Forecasters47

Capture

Resizable preview:
9%
Very unlikely

In May 2024, Russian forces began to push into the Kharkiv Oblast in the north of Ukraine (BBC, The Hill). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by the Institute for the Study of War's (ISW's) interactive map of Russia's...

Last updated: 2024-07-15
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 102
Forecasters: 47

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