What percentage of the vote will the Democratic candidate win in the US Senate election for New Jersey in 2024?
54.0% or more
More than 50.0% but less than 54.0%
50.0% or less but will win the election
50.0% or less and will not win the election
Question description
Representative Andy Kim won New Jersey's Democratic Senate primary on 4 June 2024, but incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Menendez, who is under indictment for corruption, has registered to run as an independent (Politico, CNN). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Good Judgment Open |
| Number of forecasts | 140 |
| Forecasters | 33 |
Capture
Resizable preview:
76%
54.0% or more
23%
More than 50.0% but less than 54.0%
< 1%
50.0% or less but will win the election
< 1%
50.0% or less and will not win the election
Last updated: 2024-10-31
Last updated: 2024-10-31
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 140
Forecasters: 33
Embed
<iframe src="https://https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/goodjudgmentopen-3538" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />