How many cumulative year-to-date US resident cases of pertussis (aka whooping cough) will the CDC report as of Week 52 of 2024?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
30%
At least 16,000, but fewer than 19,000
At least 16,000, but fewer than 19,000
At least 19,000, but fewer than 22,000
At least 22,000, but fewer than 26,000
At least 13,000, but fewer than 16,000
At least 26,000, but fewer than 30,000

Question description

Cases of pertussis in the US have jumped in 2024 (ABC News, MSN [Boston Globe]). The total number of cases in 2024 reported through Week 23 (week ending 8 June 2024) was 5,669, which was higher than the 5,611 total for all of 2023 (CDC - Pertussis Cases Week 23 2024, CDC - Pertussis Cases Week 52 2023). The question will be suspended on 27 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by the CDC for the week ending 28 December 2024 (CDC - Weekly Notifiable Disease Tables, scroll down to and click "Pertussis," and see "U.S. Residents, excluding U.S. Territories"). Data for specific weeks can be found by clicking the "Change Year/Week" button and selecting the year and week for which you want information. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts100
Forecasters20

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Resizable preview:
30%
At least 16,000, but fewer than 19,000
28%
At least 19,000, but fewer than 22,000
18%
At least 22,000, but fewer than 26,000
12%
At least 13,000, but fewer than 16,000
5%
At least 26,000, but fewer than 30,000
Last updated: 2024-09-07
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 100
Forecasters: 20

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