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What will be the European Central Bank's (ECB's) most recently announced "Deposit facility" interest rate as of 7 March 2025?

Good Judgment Open
★★★☆☆
85%
At least 2.50%, but less than 3.00%
At least 2.50%, but less than 3.00%
At least 2.00%, but less than 2.50%
At least 3.00%, but less than 3.50%
4.00% or higher
At least 3.50%, but less than 4.00%

Question description #

As eurozone inflation eases, markets and observers are speculating how far and how fast the ECB will cut interest rates (AP, Yahoo [Bloomberg], ECB - Key Interest Rates). As of the launch of this question, the Governing Council of the ECB had four remaining monetary policy meetings scheduled for 2024 (18 July, 12 September, 17 October, and 12 December), as well as meetings scheduled for 30 January 2025 and 6 March 2025 (ECB - Calendar). The date the change will take effect is immaterial (ECB interest rate changes generally do not take effect for approximately a week from an announced change). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here. To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformGood Judgment Open
Number of forecasts131
Forecasters23

Capture #

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What will be the European Central Bank's (ECB's) most recently announced "Deposit facility" interest rate as of 7 March 2025?
85%
At least 2.50%, but less than 3.00%
11%
At least 2.00%, but less than 2.50%
4%
At least 3.00%, but less than 3.50%
< 1%
Less than 2.00%
< 1%
At least 3.50%, but less than 4.00%
Last updated: 2025-01-24
Last updated: 2025-01-24
★★★☆☆
GJOpen
Forecasts: 131
Forecasters: 23

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